Election commission announces dates for upcoming five states election. These states are Uttar Pradesh , Punjab , Goa, Manipur and Uttrakhand. Political parties are ready to fight in these states, where some regional parties as well national parties will show there power. Opinion polls are also coming after declaration of Election dates. Two opinion polls India Today - Axis and ABP News - Lokniti- CDS predicted big win for Bhartiya Janta Party in big states like Uttar Pradesh and Punjab.
According to these polls BJP is going to make their government in UP , Goa and Uttrakhand whereas in Punjab SAD and BJP alliance will retain their power in state.
Elction polls are suggesting bjp as biggest party but time will tell who will celebrate diwali on 11th January 2017 on Holi.
Uttrakhand is state where BJP last year also left out of power with just one or two seats , so BJP will want to get most of seats this time as Former chief minister of Uttrakhand , Vijay Bahuguna is also with Bhartiya Janta Party and track record of current chief minister of UK , Harish Rawat is not so good. So it would be interesting to see how things goes in future but opinion polls are suggesting BJP government in this hilly state.
According to these polls BJP is going to make their government in UP , Goa and Uttrakhand whereas in Punjab SAD and BJP alliance will retain their power in state.
Elction polls are suggesting bjp as biggest party but time will tell who will celebrate diwali on 11th January 2017 on Holi.
Election Dates For Five states
Election commission of India announces election dates for five states , in which two big states are important for Political parties. In Uttar Pradesh polls will take places in 7 phase, Manipur in two phase whereas in Punjab , Goa and Uttrakhand election polls will be completed in single phase. Date of counting votes will be on 11th march 2017
Full details about announced election schedule is given below
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- Uttar-Pradesh
- Total Seats - 403
First Phase : 73 seats - 11th Feb
Second Phase :67 seats - 15th Feb
Third Phase : 69 seats - 19th Feb
Fourth Phase : 53 seats - 23rd Feb
Fifth Phase : 52 seats - 27th Feb
Sixth Phase : 49 seats - 4th Mar
Seventh Phase : 40 seats - 8th Mar - Manipur
- Total Seats : 60
Number of phases : 2
First Phase : 38 seats - 4th Mar
Second Phase : 22 seats - 8th Mar
Last date of Withdrawal of nominations : 22nd February 2017 - Punjab
- Total Seats : 117 Seats
Election in number of phases : 1
Phase 1 - 117 seats - 4 Feb
Last date of Withdrawal of nominations : 21st jan 2017 - Uttrakhand
- Total Seats : 70 Seats
Election in number of phases : 1
Phase 1 - 70 seats - 15 Feb
Last date of Withdrawal of nominations : 30th jan 2017 - Goa
- Total Seats : 40 Seats
Election in number of phases : 1
Phase 1 - 40 seats - 4 Feb
Last date of Withdrawal of nominations : 21st jan 2017
Election Opinion Polls
There are two opinion polls till now , These are by two biggest media groups India Today - Axis and ABP News - Lokniti- CDS , predicting BJP as biggest party in these states. Report of these opinion polls is given below
- Opinion Polls of Uttar Pradesh
According to opinion polls by India Today - Axis report , BJP will clear majority mark easily with 206 - 213 seats in UP out of 403 seats. Whereas ABP News - Lokniti- CDS is predicting a close fight between Samajwadi Party and bhartiya Janta Party. Both opinion polls are predicting BSP of Mayawati on third place in List. Indian national congress is on bottom of list in both opinions polls.
Report on Opinion Polls of UP
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- India Today - Axis
- BJP : 206 - 216
SP :92 - 97
BSP : 79 - 85
INC : 5 - 9 - ABP News - Lokniti- CDS
- BJP : 129 - 139
SP :141 - 151
BSP : 93 - 103
INC : 13 - 19
- Opinion Polls of Punjab
In Punjab both opinion polls are very different , India Today - Axis is predicting BJP and SAD as biggest party whereas ABP News - Lokniti- CDS is predicting fight between AAP and Congress party in Punjab election. According to ABP News - Lokniti- CDS SAD and BJP will be on third position in upcoming punjab election. But interesting thing is that in both opinion polls , Captain Amrinder singh is first choice for Chief minister of Punjab.
Report on Opinion Polls of Punjab
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- India Today - Axis
- BJP : 17 - 21
INC : 49 - 55
AAP : 42 - 46 - ABP News - Lokniti- CDS
- BJP : 50 - 58
INC : 41 - 49
AAP : 12 -18
- Opinion Polls of Uttrakhand
Uttrakhand is state where BJP last year also left out of power with just one or two seats , so BJP will want to get most of seats this time as Former chief minister of Uttrakhand , Vijay Bahuguna is also with Bhartiya Janta Party and track record of current chief minister of UK , Harish Rawat is not so good. So it would be interesting to see how things goes in future but opinion polls are suggesting BJP government in this hilly state.
According to India Today - Axis BJP will come to power with 35 - 43 seats out of total 70 seats.
Report on Opinion Polls of Uttrakhand
BJP : 35 - 43
INC : 22 - 30
Top Political Parties in Elections
In upcoming five states election there are some popular national as well as regional parties. In UP and Punjab all political parties will be more focused as number of seats are more and parties like congress bjp , congress and AAP will be looking these election in prospective of 2019 Lok Sabha electios.
political parties fighting in these elections are
- Bhartiya Janta Party
- Indian National Congress
- Aam Aadmi Party
- Samajwadi Party
- Bahujan Samajwadi Party
- Shiromani Akali dal etc.
- According to opinion polls vote percentage of BJP and Narenddra modi has increased by 2 % in Uttar- Pradesh, BJP vote percentage is now 33 % according to opinion polls which was earlier 31 %.Other reason for failure of Samajwadi party and Akhilesh Yadav is there family fight and fight for symbol. There is no doubt , that family fight can take power from SP's hands,
Akhilesh and Mulayam singh yadav are still fighting for party and symbol. This looks that there is no hope of compromise in party and according to sources , Akhilesh Yadav Samajwadi group is ready to fight with other party symbol also.
- In Punjab , Amrinder singh is first choice of voters as a chief minister of punjab . But AAP spokesman Sanjay singh said that they going to create history in Punjab also and will win more than 100 seats in Punjab. AAP is also unpredictable party in Indian Politics and it will not be strange if they will win Punjab elections,
- In Uttrakhand and Goa according to opinion polls as well as situation suggests, Bhartiya janta party is going to make their government. Congress and AAP can give good fight in states Uttrakhand and Goa respectively,
